2016年3月19日託福寫作預測題

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2016年3月19日託福寫作預測題

  1、★★★★

討論是否limit the fish harvest of the fishing companies.限制漁業公司捕魚。 Reading:There are three reasons that government should limit the fish harvest.1、Government should reduce the number of stripe bass, for they prey on menhaden.2、Menhaden is the main source of protein. If the number of menhaden decreases, it has negative influences on livestock and poultry.3、It also reduces the job opportunities, which results in economic problem. Listening:These reasons are unconvincing.1、Reducing the number of Bass breaks the balance of ecosystem.2、Soybeans could provide protein, and they are more economical.3、It is true that people may lose jobs and economy will suffer; however, it will recover soon. If measures are not taken, the whole region will be doom to collapse.

  2、★★★★★

cloud seeding 來減少冰雹 是有關冰雹的防止的問題

閲讀裏面講的是一種叫cloud seeding的方法就是把碘化銀打到雲裏面去文章認為這種方法可以有效的防止了冰雹對美國農業的危害

第一點原因是在實驗室的環境下,冰冰雹是在接近零度的時候形成的,而在加入了碘化銀後冰雹沒有形成教授的反駁是這是在實驗室的環境中,而在現實生活中情況是不同的而且把cloud seeding可能會導致其他種類的降水(例如雨雪)也被限制 從而導致乾旱

第二點是在亞洲的一部分城市的應用表明cloud seeding確實在這些城市起到了防止冰雹的作用教授的反駁是這些城市都有空氣污染,空氣中的污染顆粒(PM2.5??)在防止冰雹的過程中也起到了很重要的作用(這一點的原因大家可以百度一下雨的成因在這裏就不科普了) 而美國的農業地區空氣污染很少 所以沒有這些污染顆粒 所以這個方法在這些地方不一定有用。

第三點是在美國中部曾經用過could seeding這個方法而且數據表明確實有冰雹下降的現象教授的反駁是這種冰雹減少的現象在那個時候是一個大範圍的改變不僅限於美國中部(cloud seeding被用的地方) 所以這種改變更大程度上應該是氣候改變的原因。

  3、★★★★

羅馬帝國成功和滅亡的原因 Reading:三個羅馬帝國成功的'原因 1、有能力組建軍隊,被征服國家裏收取俘虜;2、羅馬帝國的軍權獨一無二至高無上;3、羅馬帝國經濟好,收税支持軍隊花銷。 Listening:反駁閲讀的三個原因,説這是羅馬滅亡的原因 1、軍隊不全是羅馬人,收復的俘虜不忠實,羅馬有可能去打俘虜國家。俘虜也會反抗羅馬帝國。而且有證據表明在羅馬快滅亡打時候俘虜軍隊反叛了;2、對羅馬帝國剛開始的時候是有道理的,因為起初的國王非常英明,但是後來國王不做political decision會有人挑戰王權。而且後來的國王有私慾,會建立宮殿等無心管理。最終導致滅亡;3、農業等增長已經停止,然而軍事消耗還在增加,對人民對壓力越拉越大,人民反抗情緒高漲,不但不忠誠國家還會記恨國家,最終導致滅亡。

  4、★★★★

閲讀講農業補貼有好處。

1. low price will benefit consumers; 2. prevent world hunger; security.

聽力反駁。

1. subsidy來自taxes,taxes來自consumers;2. in long term, low-price food in rich country會hurt the agriculture of poor countries; 3. subsidy is just for certain types of crops like corns,得不到補貼的小農場會go out of business。

  5、★★★★

經濟型捕撈的三個好處 Reading:There are three reasons that it is beneficial.1、To balance the ecosystem.2、To balance the number of fish.3、Lion fish contains high protein vitamins. Listening:These reasons are unconvincing.1、People will easily catch other fish, most of which are also precious species. It also do harm to the ecosystem.2、Once the demand of the lion fish increases, people would establish fish farm. If the lion fish escape from the farm, ecosystem will be damaged.3、The lion fish contains poisonous matter, which is harmful to people’s health.

  6、★★★★★

教授認為Advantages of EAS (Essential Air Service program) are not convicting at all. The subsidy should be eliminated or, at least, be reformed.

1、People living 110km far from the major airport are not in disadvantage. 110km doesn't sound too bad because airports are still accessible by bus or car within 2 n residents also spend that much time traveling to the airport.

2、EAS may not be a good way to spend money. The government should spend the money on transportation,education, public service ets, and help people move into the city, settle down and find jobs.

3、manufactures have been producing fewer small planes,or even stopped doing that. so getting replacement parts can be very hard. Also lack of components keeps the cost going on. therefore, critics are right to say EAS is expensive.

  listening

1、家在飛機場100kilometers之外的居民,他們到飛機場會有額外的subsidy.而且他們可以坐小車去機場,less 2 hours就能到機場了。

2、rural都搬到大城市了,因為那裏有更好的工作機會和公共服務等。政府應該把前用來幫助rural搬到城市,並且加強城市的建設,例如教育,公共交通啊之類的。

3、政府可以把錢用來do repair或者maintain機場建設之類的

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